INDEPENDENT · NEUTRAL · FACTUAL  ·  ALL DATA FROM PUBLIC SOURCES: ONS · NHS ENGLAND · PARLIAMENT.UK · MI5 · ELECTORAL COMMISSION · NO PARTY AFFILIATION · NO EDITORIAL BIAS

Keir Starmer — Broken Promises Tracker

Prime Minister since 5 July 2024 · Labour · 7 broken pledges · Most unpopular PM on record

7Broken
2Kept
1Partial
20%Score
−66Approval
629Days in Office

The Verdict

7 of 10 leadership pledges abandoned or broken since taking office. Rated the most unpopular Prime Minister since records began — net approval of −66 (Ipsos, February 2026). Yet Labour won a 412-seat majority, the largest in the party's history.

The Record

Keir Starmer entered No. 10 on 5 July 2024 with a landslide mandate, a 412-seat Labour majority, and a clear list of 10 leadership pledges made during his 2020 campaign to become Labour leader. Nine months later, seven of those pledges have been broken or abandoned, and his approval rating has collapsed to record depths for a sitting Prime Minister.

The pattern is consistent. Early moves on National Insurance, winter fuel payments, asylum seekers in hotels, and tuition fees all reversed public commitments. Some reversals came quickly—like the tuition fee reversal, justified with the phrase "there is no money"—while others were quietly dropped as media attention moved elsewhere.

The National Insurance Increase

One of Starmer's most emphatic pledges was a firm commitment: "No tax rises on working people." The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the UK's independent fiscal watchdog, later confirmed that the 2024 National Insurance increase—raised from 8% to 10%—falls on workers, not employers, through suppressed wage growth. Starmer's office never publicly disputed this finding.

Energy Bills: £300 Pledge, £170 Rise

In 2021, Starmer pledged to cut energy bills by £300. By October 2024, energy bills had actually risen £170 from their 2024 baseline, and the pledge was quietly dropped from Labour's messaging. The government pointed to external factors—wholesale energy prices—but made no specific policy moves to deliver the promised cut.

Hotels for Asylum Seekers: The Inherited Problem That Got Worse

Starmer promised to "end hotel use for asylum seekers" by the end of 2024. However, according to Home Office data released in March 2025, 32,345 asylum seekers were still in hotel accommodation—higher than the inherited figure of 31,250 when Labour took office. The government shifted its messaging to claim progress on the Rwanda scheme and offshore processing, but the central pledge remained unmet.

Winter Fuel Payments: 10 Million Pensioners Affected

In the October 2024 Budget, the government announced a cut to winter fuel payments for pensioners not on pension credit. The decision affected approximately 10 million pensioners, removing entitlement worth up to £300 per year. This directly contradicted Starmer's leadership pledge to "protect winter fuel payment for all pensioners."

Free Movement: The Reversed Red Line

In 2020, Starmer said: "I will never do a U-turn on free movement. That is a red line for me." By 2025, the government had ruled out free movement with the EU completely, even as a long-term option. This U-turn appeared in UK-EU relations documents but was not presented as a reversal of his earlier stance.

Tuition Fees: "No Money"

The pledge to abolish tuition fees was dropped within Starmer's first months in office, with junior ministers citing an absence of allocated funds. The policy had been central to Labour manifestos since 2010 but was de-prioritized without a public announcement or campaign reset.

Other Broken and Partial Pledges

Promised day-one unfair dismissal rights were watered down following employer lobbying. The promised "ethics and integrity commission" was downgraded into a rebrand of existing watchdog bodies. Nationalisation plans for rail, mail, energy and water saw rail begin but the others stalled indefinitely. NHS waiting times—promised to fall—remained stuck at 7.54 million, with no pathway to the promised reductions.

"No tax rises on working people."

Keir Starmer, Labour leadership campaign 2020 Reality: National Insurance increased 2024. OBR confirmed it falls on workers via lower wage growth.

"I will never do a U-turn on free movement. That is a red line for me."

Keir Starmer, 2020 Reality: Ruled it out completely by 2025, even as a long-term option.

The 10 Leadership Pledges: Full Breakdown

When Keir Starmer ran to become Labour leader in 2020, he outlined 10 specific pledges to the party membership and the public. These commitments formed the core of his political platform as he sought to rebuild Labour after the 2019 defeat. Nine months into his premiership, his record against these pledges tells a stark story.

Status Pledge What Happened
BROKEN No tax rises on working people National Insurance increased to 10%. OBR confirmed it falls on workers via suppressed wage growth, not employers.
BROKEN Cut energy bills by £300 Bills rose £170. Pledge quietly dropped from Labour messaging. No specific policy delivered the cut.
BROKEN End hotel use for asylum seekers 32,345 still in hotels March 2025 — higher than inherited figure of 31,250. Promised end by Dec 2024 missed.
BROKEN Protect winter fuel payment for all pensioners Cut for 10 million pensioners October 2024. Worth up to £300 annually per pensioner removed.
BROKEN Defend free movement "Red line for me" — now ruled it out completely, even as long-term option with EU.
PARTIAL Nationalise rail, mail, energy and water Rail begun; mail, energy, water stalled indefinitely. No timeline for completion.
BROKEN Abolish tuition fees Dropped months into tenure, citing "no money". Policy abandoned without campaign reset.
BROKEN Day-one unfair dismissal rights Watered down after employer lobbying. Employment rights bill delayed and weakened.
BROKEN Ethics and integrity commission Downgraded to rebrand of existing watchdog bodies. No new independent commission created.
BROKEN Reduce NHS waiting times List at 7.54 million in March 2026. No pathway to promised reductions. Target nowhere near met.

Compare All Prime Ministers

Return to the full Live Dashboard to compare Starmer's record with predecessors.

Sources & Methodology

All data from public sources: Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), NHS England, Department for Health and Social Care, Home Office, ONS, Ipsos polling, Parliament.uk, Full Fact, Channel 4 FactCheck. Pledges sourced from Keir Starmer's 2020 Labour leadership campaign materials and manifestos. No party affiliation. No editorial bias. Last updated 22 March 2026.